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Prediction Markets

Liz Hoffman and Jay Clayton onstage for a fireside chat.

Former SEC Chair Jay Clayton Raises a Key Question on Regulating Prediction Markets

As Polymarket and Kalshi soar in value, Clayton argues the sector’s core function remains an unsettled regulatory question.
By Sissi Cao
Man in black blazer holds up white sweater that reads 'Polymarket'

Polymarket’s 27-Year-Old Founder Becomes the Youngest Self-Made Billionaire

Polymarket’s young founder went from selling his belongings to leading an $8 billion startup backed by Peter Thiel and Vitalik Buterin.
By Alexandra Tremayne-Pengelly
A red hand lifts a tablet marked with a legal section (§) symbol next to another marked with an “X,” both resembling tombstones, against a beige background. The imagery suggests manipulation of law and democratic choice.

Kalshi, Trumpworld and the Bet on American Chaos

Kalshi is now the only federally sanctioned prediction market in the U.S., attracting billions in bets on everything from elections to papal succession. But with Trump allies circling, lawsuits mounting and regulators evaporating, the platform is becoming more than a marketplace—it’s a speculative engine for political influence.
By Alicia Park

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